Integrating mechanistic models and individual-based data to predict population dynamics in a changing world
A day of talks from leading experts on mechanistic and population modelling with insights into some of the opportunities long-term datasets provide to address their integration.
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Rapidly changing climates are expected to negatively impact organism fitness and compromise population persistence. Understanding how climate driven impacts on individuals scales up to affect population dynamics requires integrated modelling approaches that can capture individual dynamics and translate these to population predictions. Mechanistic modelling approaches that combine biophysical modelling to predict individual life cycles combined with advances in population modelling may be powerful ways to scale individual dynamics to populations yet are underutilised. This CBA-funded Synthesis Group workshop will explore the synergies between mechanistic and population modelling approaches to identify fruitful connections for applications to real-world datasets.
The first day of the workshop will be a open day of talks from leading experts on mechanistic and population modelling with insights into some of the opportunities long-term datasets provide to address their integration.
All welcome! Tea, coffee and light snacks will be provided during breaks. Please RSVP to assist with planning.
Program
10:00 Mike Kearney, University of Melbourne, AUS The past, present and future of Dynamic Energy Budget theory in ecology and evolution |
11:30 Rob Salguero-Gómez, Oxford University, UK Integrating energy budgets and population models to forecast resilience in a changing world |
13:00 Hugo Caylua, Oxford University, UK Causes and consequences of survival variation in ectothermic tetrapods |
14:30 Emily Stevenson, University of Newcastle, UK To what extent can life history strategies inform reptile conservation planning? |
These will be followed by a series of short talks about long-term study systems across Australia:
16:00 Geoff While, University of Tasmania, AUS Using long term data to study the evolutionary ecology of family life in lizards |
16:15 Celine Frere, University of Queensland, AUS TBA |
16:30 Erik Wapstra, University of Tasmania, AUS A goldmine of possibilities: 25 years of longitudinal life history and demographic data on snow skinks across a climatic range |
17:00 Jonno Webb, University of Technology, AUS What can we learn from long-term studies? Effects of droughts and megafires on two species of sympatric snakes from south-eastern Australia |
17:15 Mike Gardner, Flinders University, AUS Two ticks, a lizard and a long-standing ecological question |
17:30 Daniel Noble, ANU, AUS Understanding how phenotypic plasticity impacts population dynamics: the power of experimental mesocosms |
Location
The talks are open to all!
They will be held in the Slatyer Seminar Room on the second floor of the RN Robertson Building, Research School of Biology, Australian National University, Canberra.
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Upcoming events in this series
Professor Fred Allendorf from the University of Montana will discuss the relationship between effective population size and allelic variation and its implications for species conservation status.